Astros try for series win over Nationals

Baseball Betting Lines

06/03/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Houston Astros hope to post their second winning series in more than a month when they close out a four-game set Thursday afternoon versus the Washington Nationals at Minute Maid Park.

After losing the opener of this series on Monday by 10 runs, the Astros have rebounded with consecutive victories and recorded a 5-1 victory last night behind five decent innings from starting pitcher Wandy Rodriguez. Rodriguez improved to 3-7 on the season with five innings of one-run ball and eight strikeouts.

"Tonight I felt comfortable with my breaking ball," Rodriguez said. "It was the best I had all year."

Carlos Lee hit a two-run homer and Hunter Pence knocked in a pair of runs for the Astros, who walked off with an 8-7 win in the bottom of the ninth of Tuesday's matchup on Lance Berkman's two-run single.

The Astros have won three of four contests and are aiming for their second series triumph since sweeping St. Louis in three games from May 11-13. Their previous series win was a three-game sweep of Pittsburgh from April 23-25.

Taking the mound for Houston Thursday will be Brian Moehler, who will make his second straight start and 14th appearance of the season. Moehler was destroyed in his previous outing on Saturday in a 12-2 loss at Cincinnati, as he was reached for eight runs and 10 hits in only 2 2/3 innings. The righty fell to 0-2 this season and raised his earned run average to 7.29. Moehler is 3-4 with a 4.97 ERA in 14 career meetings (9 starts) with Washington.

Meanwhile, the Nationals have dropped two in a row and four of their last five games. In last night's four-run setback in the Lone Star State, Adam Dunn went 3-for-4 with the team's lone RBI and Nyjer Morgan had a pair of hits.

Washington starter John Lannan was sent packing with his fifth loss of the season, permitting five runs -- two earned -- on eight hits and two walks.

"It was an OK outing," Lannan said on the Nats' website. "I wish I could have done better. Changeup felt good. When I needed to throw a strike, I did. The curveball felt pretty good."

Lannan didn't get much help with three errors from shortstop Ian Desmond and 13 strikeouts from his hitters. Washington has fanned 13 times in each of the previous two games.

Taking the ball for the Nationals today will be J.D. Martin, who is set to make his second start of the season. The second-year righty made his 2010 debut in last Saturday's 4-2 loss at San Diego and gave up four runs -- one earned -- in six innings. He also struck out five batters.

Martin has never faced the Astros in his career.

Washington and Houston split six meetings a season ago.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

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