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06/04/2010 - Harrison, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Red Bull New York hosts Chivas USA on Saturday in Major League Soccer action, three days after one of the best results of the season.
With the score tied a one against the Houston Dynamo deep into stoppage time, Red Bull was awarded a free kick from about 30 yards out. Striker Juan Pablo Angel stepped up and fired a perfect shot off the left post to give his team the much-needed home result, while snapping a four-game losing streak.
"Normally you expect it," New York coach Hans Backe said of Angel's dramatic winner. "He's a very, very sharp finisher so normally he scores. In a way, we would have been happy to get the tie to cut these four losses in a row to start all over again, because it's rough to lose four games in a row. I think with his background, of course that someone has to be the boss and to step up. We struggled on our set plays on our corners and our wide free kicks. But someone has to step and just organize us on those plays."
Now, New York (6-5-0) will be aiming to head into the World Cup break on a winning streak, with Saturday's match its next until June 26.
"We needed to stop the losing streak," Angel said. "It was important for us to do it. I felt right from the beginning of the game, we were the better team, we were playing well, and we were creating chances. But there was that feeling of, 'Come on,' as we missed one, we missed two, we missed three, and they can always come back on us.
"So when they scored a goal, you could feel that we were so disappointed. But we reacted well. We kept creating chances and attacking, and it was an even game at the end. I'm delighted that we managed to break that streak and win [on Wednesday]. It was important to win, hopefully we get a good result on Saturday, and then we have the break to just regroup and start all over again."
On Saturday, New York will be facing a Chivas USA team that has lost four straight MLS fixtures of its own, the last three of which on last-minute goals.
"Obviously, it's very disappointing," Chivas USA striker Justin Braun told mlssoccer.com. "It stinks giving up those late goals. It's three weeks in a row now. That's something we can't keep allowing. You can't win games if you keep allowing late goals. We need to do whatever we can to stop this."
The latest loss was a the Hans of a D.C. United squad that had won just one game previous to beating the Western Conference's last-placed team.
"We have to stay focused," Chivas coach Martin Vasquez said. "Don't lose our concentration. I feel that maybe [we] also [lacked] a little bit of confidence [at D.C.]. At times we weren't good with the ball. There's lots of work to do."
The Goats will be without starting goalkeeper Zach Thornton because of a red card he received vs. United. Further complicating matters is the fact that backup goalkeeper Dan Kennedy is questionable with a hip strain. Defender Ante Jazic will miss the match with a knee strain.
New York will be without a host of players, including defender Kevin Goldthwaite, midfielders Giorgi Chirgadze, Austin da Luz, Carl Robinson and Brian Nielsen, and forward Macoumba Kandji, all with injuries.
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While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.
Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.
The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.
What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.
These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.
College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.
Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.
Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.
Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.
I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.
Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.
It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.
As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.
Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.
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